First — talk for 2 minHas anyone in your family farmed, gardened, or grown anything — even on a windowsill? What was the soil like? If no one, Mr. Bennett will share about a community garden.

What is the soil under your feet doing?

Most of the carbon on a healthy farm is not in the corn or the cows — it is buried under your boots. Soil organic carbon is the leftover stems, roots, and microbes built up over centuries of life and death. Healthy farm soils can hold dozens of tons of it per hectare. Plowed-and-replanted soils, every year, lose a little of it back to the air as carbon dioxide.

A regenerative farmer in South Jersey is transitioning a 1-hectare field from conventional corn-and-soybean to silvopasture — cattle grazing under widely-spaced hardwood trees. At year 0, the field has about 40 tons of carbon per hectare. Studies project the soil will gain carbon at a continuous rate of about 3.4% per year for the first decade or two.

"Continuous" is the new word. Soil microbes do not pause and wait for January 1 to add the year's growth. They are working every second — root tip, raindrop, fungus, beetle. So instead of writing \(C(t) = 40 \cdot (1.034)^{t}\), soil scientists write \(C(t) = 40 \cdot e^{0.034\,t}\). Same starting carbon. Same 3.4%. Different timing rule. Does that little change in timing rule actually move any tons of carbon?

Worked Example #1 — Build the continuous-rate model (silvopasture)
Problem\(C(t)\) is soil organic carbon (tons per hectare), \(t\) = years since transition. Write a continuous-rate model.
DataYear 0 carbon: 40 t/ha. Continuous growth rate: 3.4% per year. Use the form \(P_{0} \cdot e^{rt}\), where \(r\) is the continuous rate per year and \(P_{0}\) is the starting amount (the value when \(t = 0\)).
Word Bank starting amount multiply decimal continuous rate equation subtract substitute exponent
Number Bank 40 0.034 3.4 0.34 1.034 0
#Reasoning (fill in)Math
1 The \(P_{0}\) is the soil carbon at \(t = 0\), before any growth. \(P_{0} = \)
2 Convert 3.4% to a by dividing by 100. This is the \(r\). \(r = \)
3 Write the using \(P_{0}\), \(e\), \(r\), and \(t\). \(C(t) = \) \(\cdot\, e^{\,r\,t}\)
4 Plug in the value of \(r\) so the formula is ready to use. \(C(t) = 40 \cdot e^{\,\,}\)\(\,t\)
5 To predict \(t = 10\), 10 in for \(t\) and use the \(e^{x}\) key. \(C(10) = 40 \cdot e^{0.34} \approx \) t/ha
Worked Example #2 — Identify \(a\) and \(r\) from the equation (no-till + cover crops)
ProblemA US Midwest field under no-till + cover crops is modeled by \(C(t) = 35 \cdot e^{0.012\,t}\). Find the starting carbon and the continuous growth rate as a percent per year.
DataThe form is \(C(t) = a \cdot e^{rt}\). Here \(a\) is the value at \(t = 0\) (before any growth) and \(r\) is the continuous rate per year, written as a decimal.
Word Bank starting amount exponent add percent multiply continuous rate decimal
Number Bank 35 0.012 1.2 12 1.012 0.12
#Reasoning (fill in)Math
1 The coefficient (the value when \(t = 0\)) is the \(a\). \(a = \) t/ha
2 The number multiplying \(t\) inside the is the continuous rate \(r\) (as a decimal). \(r = \)
3 To turn the decimal into a , by 100. \(0.012 \times 100 = \) %
4 State the : the soil grows at this percent per year. 1.2% continuous growth per year
5 Watch out: \(e^{0.012} \approx 1.0121\) is the discrete annual factor, not the continuous rate. The continuous rate is \(r\) itself. Answer: \(a = 35\) t/ha; rate \(= 1.2\%/\)yr
Three Practices, Three Rates — fill in from your work
Silvopasture (Drawdown): \(C_0 = 50\) t/ha, continuous rate 4.5% per year. \(C(t) = \) \(\cdot\, e^{\,}\)\(\,t\).
"4 per 1000" UN target: \(C_0 = 60\) t/ha, continuous rate 0.4% per year. \(C(t) = \) \(\cdot\, e^{\,}\)\(\,t\).
Conventional tillage: \(C(t) = 45 \cdot e^{-0.008\,t}\). Continuous rate \(=\) % per year. Growth or decay? (because the exponent is ).
Conclude — what \(r\) would the US need?

How fast would adoption have to grow?

Today only about 5% of US cropland uses regenerative practice. Suppose adoption grows continuously: \(p(t) = 0.05 \cdot e^{r\,t}\). To hit a 25-year target of \(p(25) = 0.30\) (30% of cropland), what continuous rate \(r\) would we need?

From the equation: \(0.05 \cdot e^{25 r} = 0.30\), so \(e^{25 r} = 6\). Using \(\ln\): \(25 r = \) \(\ln(6)\) \(\approx 1.7918\), so \(r \approx \) per year (about %).

Reflect: Cover-crop adoption grew at about 5.5% per year between 2012 and 2022. Pick one intervention from class (EQIP cost-share, CSP, Farmer-First Pilot, carbon markets, agroforestry grants, or state soil-health policy). Would it move \(r\) toward the value you found, or away? Why?

Tier 2 · General Academic Words
Tier 3 · Soil, Climate, & Math Words